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Lu Guangsheng (Director, Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, Yunnan University)
发布时间:2014年10月13日  来源:察哈尔学会  作者:Lu Guangsheng  阅读:1600

Mt topic is about Chinese Investment and Aid to Myanmar: Analysis based on Questionnaire Results. There will be four parts in my presentation. one is the general information about how this survey can be done and what we got. The second part is the Survey results. And third part will be the analysis on the result. The final part will be the enlightenments and suggestion. I think maybe Iwill pay more attention to the third part because just now Mr. Sonqingrun has already made a very good suggestion to improve the relation between China and Myanmar. So maybe this part is the key point. In last year in July and August the Center on Myanmar Studies of Yunnan University organized a questionnaire on Chinese investment and aid to Myanmar. In total, we sent our 100 questionnaires, finally we got 86 returned to us. So we have to say that it is unfortunately, the sample maybe is not big enough. I think it’s still helpful to deploy of you, just for your information and reference. One thing i have to say is that the viewpoint that we got from the survey doesn’t stands for the Institute or Centre of Yunnan University. We sent the questionnaire in three cities, Naypyidaw, Yangon and Mandalay. And we sent them to the citizens and we got totally 86 feedback.

All these question are mainly about 4 questions:

One is the Myanmar public’s general attitude towards Chinese investment and aid. The second one is the Survey on specific Chinese projects, including 113:58 and other big purchase. The third one is the attitude towards international investment and aid especially form western countries. The final question is about How should China carry out investment and aid in Myanmar in the foreign situation feature.

Let me go through quickly for the feedback.

This table show that how Chinese investment and aid to Myanmar? Is this highly welcomed or comparatively welcomed or not welcomed, dislike , or Don’t care. We got different answer.

The second table is about Is it realistic that Myitsone Hydropower Station will be rebuilt?You can find that there is 66 answers saying“No”.

The table 4: Do you think that the investment and aid from western community will flood to Myanmar after 2001?

The next table is about Should Chinese investment and aid increase or decrease. We can find out that the biggest answer is that yes it should be in college if they do some priority areas and models different from before.

So next is the third part, maybe I need to talk some more about this part.

We found out that Myanmar public take a considerably negative attitude towards Chinese investment and aid. Unfortunate, we have to make this conclusion from this survey.  The survey results show that both Myanmar ordinary citizen and NGO workers are discontent with Chinese investment for the past two decades at large, and know little about Chinese aid. In their opinion, Chinese aid is also utilitarian, aiming to get more economic benefits from Myanmar, especially talking about the natural resource. In addition, according to the supplementary answers in the questionnaire, Myanmar public complaint with those cheap but poor quality products from China just know the Song qingrun mentioned.

The second result we found out is that some large Chinese projects in Myanmar lack enough public supports.  Some Myanmar people point out that the suspension of Myitsone Hydropower Station is due to Myanmar’s complex political game, but more people worry about the environment damage to the local and they criticize it for lacking of transparency. the survey results show different voices on the restart of the Myitsone Hydropower Station. The Dam is now becoming a sensitive and symbolistic project between the bilateral relations. For other projects, many people believe that they are not urgent for Burma side, maybe they think that this project being more benefit to China rather than to Myanmar. Generally speaking, we find that Myanmar ordinary people and NGOs workers are inclined to evaluate Chinese investment projects by whether the public, the local people, can benefit rather than the development of the whole country. In other words, they care more about personal, local interests than overall interests, and pay more attention to current interests than long-term interests. I think maybe this point is largely believed by many countries, especially in Chinese side.

The third survey result is that Myanmar people expect international investment and assistance to improve self-development ability. They have a great expectation for western investment and aid after the election but there are also some worry about Myanmar is not lending for large scale and foreign investment.

The fourth result is that the regional disparities in attitudes towards Chinese investment and aid. As we know that the attitude in Madeley is not so good.

The final part will be some Enlightenments and Suggestion. The rising of Myanmar public’s awareness bring new challenges to Chinese investment and aid. This thing I think we have already paid attention in the past several years, we have already knew we paid attention to this.

During Myanmar’s transition, China should actively adapt to Myanmar’s new situation and new environment, they bring some new opportunity as well as some difficulty for Chinese investment. On is that Chinese investment and assistance in Myanmar have been politicizing and socializing. As Myanmar’s largest foreign investment resource, Chinese projects can’t avoid the crush of Myanmar democracy. So I think we should keep confidence in the prospect of China-Myanmar economic cooperation, as the present challenges are just the products of specific historical period. We cannot avoid what we can do . it’s just how to with the new situation.

The second point is that we should adjust some investment and aid to guiding Chinese enterprises and businessmen to invest in fields supported by local government, central government of Myanmar, such as agriculture, infrastructure, manufacturing, health care, etc. Chinese enterprises can seize the opportunity to cooperate with Myanmar’s enterprises, in order to providing Myanmar people with high quality products and gain public support. We should also pay some attention to the projects of localization to get more Myanmar people, company and to give more in the investment project bring them economic benefit and improve their skills.

The fourth part is to enhance publicity in English and Myanmar. In the past we do but we don’t say about it, but in the new situation we have to do some publicity work in English and Myanmar.

The fifth will be that we should Support Chinese NGOs to offer community welfare services in Myanmar. I think Chinese NGO work in Myanmar will help Chinese investment even bilateral relations. We should pay more time and attention in the investment and bilateral relation. But in my personal opinion, before the general election, most of the Chinese businessman, they have to wait and see. 

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