most analysts working on China and
Myanmar interstate relations have recently been concerned with the growing
frictions between the two countries and the implications of Myanmar’s close ties with western countries. I want to look at the dynamic
from slightly different angle now. so I’m going
to talk about links between cross-border economic development between the two
countries and what it means for state-transformation especially within China.
After more general intro, I will then illustrate some of more thoughts with a
few trends in cross-border trade in Yunnan and the border city of Reli. So if
you looking for theoretical foundation for studying links between cross-border
development and state transformation generally, cross-border development
usually placed to the very broad category of globalization, understood as, very
generally speaking as expantional social relations across borders . in the
debate about economic globalization with regard to the state that those authors
who claimed the state can basically who continue to be in control of the economic
development .And on the other hand you also have authors talking about the
retreat of the state associated with decentralization of state authority trying
to lower levels of government and increasingly place specific developments. So
it’s not all becoming more similar it’s
becoming more locally and local-specific. In reality of course there is a
variety of ways in how different actors can utilize the evolving commercial
links across borders or what they would like for them to look like.
As one of the aims of the central
government is to maintain or expand the control over its territory and
periphery in particular. For central authorities this means within states, they
will try to shape cross-border developments in the manner that strengthens
their state authority over these areas. And they often go back and forth over
cycles of de- and re- centralization depending on whether local forces appear
to be undermining reinforcing the general goals. Well in Myanmar this mainly
means maintaining or gaining controls over the ethnic periphery. In china
Centre authorities are at least with regard to Southeast Asia mostly concern
with alliances between local authorities and local businesses and whether they
are pulling into different directions or pose resistance to central government
reform.
From a state-building perspective I think
that there are signs that we are currently witnessing around of new
recentralization and the recent developments in Myanmar may strengthen the
central authority position which therefore also holds the potential of actually
strengthen interstate ties between Myanmar and China at the highest level of
authority rather than straining them.
Very broadly speaking that there are two
different ways of recentralization.One is to provide some formal
incentive for local and societal actors to submit themselves to central rule.
And the other of course is to wide control restrictions. The new government in
China seems to be eagerly pushing forward with reforms and relies on both types
of measures we can witness with lots of examples like current anti-corruption
drive which is also very important to managing relations between central and
local governments is through a new round of tax reform. The tax reform can be
read as one component which indicates that central authorities at the moment
are trying to regain some form of control. Well the new reform don’t really hold many changes in terms of how many money will available
for both sides. It does aim at replacing at least two types of tax that are not
collected by local authorities to national tax rolls. This ultimately will also
affect and improve tax incentives that many local governments at the moment can
still grant to business. With more specifically on Yunnan, central authorities
at least for now are still seem to drive more custom-made authority though.
They are offering tax relieve and other measures of cross-border trade which is
very different to the general trend where they seem to go away from special
treatment tie to specific geographical location like these open cities or
border economic zones to now particular industrial sectors across the country.
With regard to interstate relations, china’s investment into Myanmar remained state-owned enterprise dominated
and is mostly associated with former military government in Myanmar. Reasons
for analysts to highlight the declining relations seems partly confirmed in the
fact that Chinese investment in Myanmar has fallen sharply. And that form 2013
has also shown that China is no longer Myanmar’s largest
donor. China, however, does remain the largest source of imports accounting for
roughly $4 billion in 2013. With Yunnan sharing the border with Myanmar, this
is therefore rather important figure other than the cross-border investment,
cross-border trade is dominated by private business and there is also still a
lot of illegal activities everyone knows. So tax evasion directly affects
central funds and explains increased efforts to step up legalizing in
regulating cross-border trades from central authorities because taxes from
cross-border trade actually go into the central funds.
The widening of state regulation even
includes petty border trade which remains only of marginal size next to
regulating tax for cross-border trade, central authorities have even
institutionalized more agriculture cross-border markets that now retain between
different located according to national schedule. The larger business involved
in private business involved in
cross-border trade are often based on close connections with local
authorities and blackening deals with ethnic warlords across the border, they
are also often involved with more problematic factors of cross-border trade
such as timber and investment into agriculture in Myanmar that has received a
lot of criticism recently. This explains central authorities’interest to keep taps on these businesses and to maintain political
control over the local authorities despite the decentralization measures and
handing out authority to Yunnan to actually help shape the cross-border
development.
And so of course security concerns with
regard to the fighting between Myanmar forces and Kechen
ethnic minority close to China’s border is on the central
government’s agenda. Recent development offers new
opportunities to rechanneling private or local business to use more in line
with maybe central authority’s interests. This is the aim
that might chime with central authorities in Myanmar at least successful
strategy that will be chosen on the Myanmar side.
Most cross border trades between China and
Myanmar goes through the border gates in Reli and Wanting, one of the reasons
is that only these two are under relatively stable security control of the
Myanmar government whereas ethnic ceasefire groups control the others.
On the Chinese side however, there is
another component with regard to Reli’s development history. At
least initially private business involved in Timber trade was close connections
to the local government played a role in lobbying to open up the cross-border
trade. Reli is the only border gate that at the moment for China to open for
timber imports from Myanmar and all Chinese business in the sector of course
interested in profits and more free trades. Beijing and high levels of
provincial authorities are interested in collecting revenue in stability along
the borders. So when in 2006, Myanmar and China signed a bilateral agreement to
stop illegal cross timber trade or non-government approved timber trade. In
another way of interpreting this step is to read it as a measure of Chinese
authority’s actually reign in this local business in this
region and recentralization.
After the ban on all raw timber exports
from Burma has come to into effect in April this year, many people have
expressed concerns that it will be difficult to implement without China
support.
For the future, therefore it will be
interesting if we continue seeing timber processing facilities on the Chinese
side of the border or if there will be a switch to may be building them inside
Myanmar. Well that in itself will not yet be a good result to protect Myanmar’s environment, it will at least to a certain degree that the power
of central authorities to implement the strategies in the border areas is in
their control. And whether the aim of protecting the environment is actually
true, it may be about actually remaining in power in the first place. So if the
centralization will be good thing remains to be seen but at least this kind of
proof will be the first step to holding them responsible for future engagement.