The
Olympics, whether the Summer or Winter Games, is celebrated the world over, and
the host country hopes that all heads of state can participate in the event to
highlight their importance.
The 2018 PyeongChang Winter Olympics is no exception. While the leaders of
China, Russia and the US will be absent, whether Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo
Abe will attend the Games, which kick off on February 9, has become a focus of
attention in South Korea.
Earlier, it was reported that Abe would not attend the event due to the row
between Japan and South Korea over the "comfort women" issue.
However, he later made a U-turn by saying he would attend. What made him change
his mind?
The first reason may be the North Korean nuclear issue. Recently,
South and North Korea saw signs of easing tensions. They held talks at the
truce village of Panmunjom and agreed to march their athletes together under
one flag at the opening ceremony of the Games and to field a joint women's ice
hockey team.
Some South Korean media mocked that North Korean leader Kim Jong-un has
been manipulating the situation on the Korean Peninsula all
along.
This is the last thing that Japan wants to see. Japan is not a key player in
the nuclear issue, but it does not want to be excluded as Japan is wary of
Pyongyang's nuclear weapons. Under the circumstances of a thaw in South-North
ties, Japan is striving to have its say.
In 2020, Tokyo will hold the Summer Olympics and Japan is keen to see the
participation of all world leaders. As neighbors, South Korea and Japan jointly
held the FIFA World Cup in 2002. Japan hopes that South Korean leaders can
attend the Tokyo Olympics, so it has to make an example first. If Abe attends
the PyeongChang Olympics, then the South Korean president would have no reason
not to attend the Tokyo Games.
The US factor also matters. It is said that US President Donald Trump hopes Abe
can go to PyeongChang so ties between Japan and South Korea, two US allies in
East Asia, can improve. The US does not want to see a disharmonious
relationship between its two allies due to the "comfort women"
controversy and territorial disputes.
The triangular relations among China, Japan and South Korea also play a role.
None of the three wishes to see strained ties with the other two
simultaneously. Both Japan and China are endeavoring to improve ties with South
Korea. With the rebound in Beijing-Seoul relations, Japan feels it is more
urgent to repair ties with South Korea.
Whatever the real reason is, it shows Japan places high importance on its
relations with South Korea. Abe had viewed the "comfort women" deal
his administration signed with Park Geun-hye government in 2015 as a major
diplomatic victory. After President Moon Jae-in took office,
he was not willing to implement the deal, embarrassing Abe immensely. That is
why Abe decided not to attend the PyeongChang Olympics in the first place. In
other words, Abe was supposed to attend if not for the change to the
"comfort women" deal.
Now that Abe has changed his mind, he will not go for nothing. On the opening
day of the Winter Games, he will hold talks with Moon about the "comfort
women" issue.
For South Korea, Abe's presence is a favor. Therefore, it is possible that the
two will make some compromise in the "comfort women" impasse.
The author is a senior
research fellow of the Charhar Institute.